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Coincident Peak Alert for NYISO, PJM, and ERCOT, July 2 - 13, 2020

July 2, 2020

CP - ERCOT, NYISO and PJM

It appears the fireworks have come early this year as several markets are facing medium to high threats for Coincident Peaks (“CPs”) today and into the early part of next week.

NYISO: High threats today (July 2) and Monday (July 6)

  • Today -  peak demand forecast @ 25.8 GW
  • Monday - peak demand forecast @ 27 GW
  • In New York, there is only 1 CP all summer so clients looking to generate demand-side energy savings won’t want to miss it! A recent trend we’ve observed is that as demand response becomes more popular and more hi-tech, the “obvious” CP day (i.e. Monday – with a higher forecasted peak demand) is often the day when many load curtailments occur, ultimately moving the CP occurrence to one of the “not-so-obvious” days. In fact, last summer’s CP in NYISO occurred on a Saturday. 
  • Consumer Tip - If possible, reduce electricity consumption between 3-6 pm ET to save on Capacity costs in 2021.

PJM: High threats today, tomorrow, Monday, and Tuesday

  • Elevated temperatures across the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic increase the risk of demand response events.
  • Today's peak demand is forecast to reach 135.1 GW, but the risk increases significantly next week
  • Monday - peak demand forecast @ 138.5 GW
  • Tuesday - peak demand forecast @ 140.2 GW

ERCOT: Low risk today, high threats are expected from July 13th

  • Today’s peak demand (forecast @ 69.8 GW) will probably eclipse the current July peak demand (67.6 GW – established yesterday)
  • The Texas summer is just getting started and it’ll likely be much hotter later in the month
  • Over the past fifteen years, the earliest occurrence of the July peak is the 12th of the month

Reach out to your energy advisor at 5 or contact us for more details.

5

Written by 5

Founded in 2011, 5 comprises a team of energy innovators, commodity traders, analysts, engineers, and former energy supplier executives. Together, they serve a broad array of private and public sector clients throughout the United States and Mexico, providing strategic advice on energy-related matters including procurement, demand-side management, rate optimization, regulatory intervention, benchmarking, bill auditing, RFP management, sustainability planning services, renewable power, and distributed generation. With an eye on growth, 5 has initiated a number of strategic partnerships and acquisitions, including the 2019 acquisition of Luthin Associates. 5 has been named to the Inc. 5000 list of fastest-growing companies in the U.S. for five consecutive years. The firm has also received numerous accolades and national awards for its corporate culture, leadership and innovation, including 5 consecutive years as a top 10 Best Company to Work for in Texas according to Texas Monthly Magazine.